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Does the winner of the first Grand Prix have a better chance of winning the title at the end of the season?

Often, the winner of the first Grand Prix of the season is considered the favorite to clinch the title at the end of the championship... but is that really the case? In other words, is Lando Norris poised to be champion in 2025? The answer is in statistics.

Published 17/03/2025 à 11:01

Dorian Grangier

  Comment on this article! 2

Does the winner of the first Grand Prix have a better chance of winning the title at the end of the season?

© Antonin Vincent / DPPI

This 2025, Formula 1 celebrates its 75th anniversary: ​​75 years of passion, 75 years of evolution, 75 years of history. Three-quarters of a century in which many glories and dramas have been written, so many that we could write complete encyclopedias! And since the championship was created in 1950, of course, we have obtained 75 years of statistics that allow us to visualize, thanks to the past, the trends of the future in F1.

The day after the first Grand Prix of the 2025 season, one question was burning on our minds. Reading the statements and analyses

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Dorian Grangier

A young journalist nostalgic for the motorsport of yesteryear. Raised on the exploits of Sébastien Loeb and Fernando Alonso.

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Comment on this article! 2

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Comments

2 Comment (s)

Yves-Henri RANDIER

17/03/2025 at 06:17 a.m.

One would be tempted to say that it is better to lead the race but with 24 Grand Prix, the pressure is likely to be heavy on Norris who is chasing his first title while Verstappen is rather familiar with this pressure following his 4 consecutive titles.

1

V

vincent moyet

17/03/2025 at 12:20 a.m.

I also mentioned the statistic that often means that the winner of the first GP is champion. It's not just a coincidence: it reveals which team and driver are the best prepared, and it gives a psychological advantage over the rest of the field. That said, it makes things more difficult because it's at the last GP that you have to be at the top of the standings, and the championship then becomes long... You then find yourself in the position of the one who has everything to lose, you have to accept it. But if you compare this race with the disaster in Brazil last year in the same conditions, Norris seems to have turned a corner. Go Lando!

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